In a prior post I noted that if the CFPB’s funding is illegal, it creates a time bomb for the entire US housing market because the Bureau will not be able to update the Average Prime Offer Rate (APOR) that is used to determine the presumptive legality of mortgages.
The situation is actually worse. If the Bureau’s funding is illegal, it isn’t just a problem going forward. It also implicates the legality of everything the Bureau has done since the Fed stopped running a profit, that is from the 4th quarter of 2022 onward. That is every rulemaking and every enforcement action and every termination of a consent decree becomes suspect if the Bureau’s been acting without legal funding. And that includes the APOR.
If the Bureau’s funding is illegal, then the APOR is arguably frozen at either the end of Q3 or Q4 2022. I think Q4 2022 because until the end of that quarter it wasn’t know if the Fed was running a profit.1 Here’s why it matters. The APOR for a 30 year mortgage was 6.79% at the end of Q3 2022 and 6.28% at the end of Q4 2022. Right now it’s 6.26%, but it’s been substantially higher at points between 2022 and today. That means that some mortgages that would be QM under the APOR that was listed when the mortgages were made would not be QM if the APOR were frozen at a Q3 or Q4 2022 level. That’s a potential mess for lenders, who face putbacks (they would be in breach of their reps and warrants), a borrower defense to foreclosure, and state AG enforcement.
Now it would seem easy enough to say “justified reliance” and grandfather everything old in. But I’m not sure that’s how it will work, and that uncertainty is enough of a problem in and of itself.
- The difficulty in knowing how/when to measure the Fed’s profitability is yet another factor that points toward the absurdity of the OLC’s opinion. Any corporate lawyer will tell you that if you have an incurrence test in your bond, you need a relevant incurrence date. And if you have a maintenance test, you should still know the date of a breach because there’s a notice requirement. There’s nothing at all like this for the CFPB, however. The timing of the Fed’s financial reporting is not synced with the timing of the CFPB draws, which suggests that the draws are not meant to relate to anything in the content of the reporting, including profitability. ↩︎

