Author: Stephen Lubben

  • The Bailout — another persepctive (part 3)

    Posted by

    What is the purpose of the bailout fund?  Even the proponents don’t agree on this.

    It seems clear from Paulson’s initial proposal, and Bernake’s testimony yesterday, that they see the fund as a fix for a market that has "gone irrational." The fund is thus a solution to market failure.  Seen in this light, the fund is a kind of subsidy to the financial industry — the size of the subsidy depending on whether the current market or Paulson/Bernake are right about the true value of these assets.

    But yesterday I proposed viewing the bailout fund as a moment to put the issue behind us — a collective act of putting cards on the table.  Not only is this approach seemingly more politically viable, but it should reduce the risk to the treasury, since the government either forces the banks to take a "haircut" upfront or recoups on the back end through an equity stake — or some combination of the two.  Here the bailout fund serves to guarantee that we have hit a true bottom in the market, since the banks part with the assets once and for all.

    Clearly the theory behind the bailout fund is important and needs to be resolved.  Otherwise Paulson/Bernake and Congress will continue to talk past each other.

  • The Bailout — how do we know we really have a problem?

    Posted by

    As the politics of the bailout get more and more heated, my friend and colleague Frank Pasquale, a regular at this blogging stuff who has also been thinking about the proposed bailout, was kind enough to comment on one of my earlier posts.  In essence, he asks how do we know that the credit markets would really collapse if the bailout legislation did not pass?

    It is not an easy question to answer, given that the markets are largely anticipating some sort of bailout — albeit with some doubt thrown into the mix.

    I look to three factors:

    1.  The interbank LIBOR rate is acting erratically.  This is the rate that banks charge each other for loans.

    2.   Non-financial corporations are stockpiling cash in case of a lending market shutdown.

    3.  The CDS market (admittedly part of the problem here) is also acting erratically, moving sharply based on the latest news about the government’s actions.  The following chart (produced by Markit) tells the story last week with regard to the movement of two leading CDS index measures:

    Attad59d_3

     


  • The Bailout — another perspective (part 2)

    Posted by

    In my prior post I talked about why the bailout was probably the best, if still unattractive, solution to the current mess, while noting that the Fed and administration have done a pretty lousy job of explaining what is at stake.  In this post I take up the regulatory issues that naturally flow from the present crisis, particularly the issue of credit default swaps, which I’ve been following for a while.

    During the hearings earlier today, Senator Dodd called the current crisis “entirely foreseeable and preventable, not an act of God."  He is right.

    The crisis is complex, but there seems to be general agreement that the root problem was a deadly co-dependence between irresponsible borrows and irresponsible lenders.  While I leave the problem of the borrowers to my colleagues that study them, I will state at the outset that if this bailout is our national moment for "moving on," it seems reasonable that that this should apply to the borrows and lenders equally.  In short, I don’t buy Secretary Paulson’s suggestion that this is "unlreated."

    Turning to the lenders, the part of the problem that is within my jurisdiction, I agree with Christopher Cox, the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission,who today called for more regulation of the credit derivatives markets.  While I was willing to give this new market some space while it developed, it is clear that the atomistic nature of the market is at odds with the larger economic good.

    Stated bluntly, the industry had its chance and blew it.  Time to consider something new.  More after the jump.

    (more…)

  • The Bailout — another perspective (part 1)

    Posted by

    First, I want to thank Bob Lawless and the rest of the Credit Slips folks for having me back yet again — I’m getting to be like the guest who would not leave.

    Second, while it might make me part of the "establishment," I’m going to say right from that start that I join those who favor the bailout.

    I also think we need to avoid a whole lot of knee jerk reactions that
    are floating around out there — like the SEC’s ban on short selling, which
    is quickly becoming the Bad Management Protection Act of 2008.  Of course, the notion that the administration can open the door on this issue "just a little" is also equally suspect.

    I view the economy and the larger financial system as being at a Titanic like moment:  post iceberg, per submersion.  It is certainly reasonable to disdain those who got us into this situation, but I’m not going to let my feelings for them get in the way of saving as many people as possible.

    That said, I understand why there is a good deal of skepticism about the bailout.  In part chapter 11 is to blame — there has been almost no effort to explain why AIG is different from Enron, United Airlines, or any other really big corporation that has recently failed.  And the financial industry needs to fess up that it blew its chance to self-regulate the credit default swap market — too many people, even myself to some degree, bought the "trust us, we’re experts" line from ISDA and other market players.

    No wonder people aren’t buying that line in connection with the bailout — especially when the administration has its own credibility problems in this regard in connection with other big, complex projects in the non-financial area.

    More on the chapter 11 issue, and why I think the administration has done a terrible job of selling this but still generally support the bailout, after the jump.  I’ll save my thoughts on the CDS market for another post.

    (more…)

  • Not Quite Free and Clear

    Posted by

    Beginning with Baird and Rasmussen’s End of Bankruptcy, and including papers by Westbrook, LoPucki, and yours truly, much recent corporate bankruptcy scholarship has focused on the frequent exercise of pervasive control by secured lenders in chapter 11 cases.

    A key aspect of this new reality is the prevalence of sales of "substantially all" (corporate speak for "all") of the debtor’s assets under section 363, before formulation of a plan.  Lenders are willing to fund short cases leading to sales of the debtor as a going concern — not "old fashion" reorganization plans.  Sale of the debtor’s assets under section 363 importantly invokes § 363(f) of the Bankruptcy Code, which appears to allow the new buyer to acquire "clean" title to the debtor’s assets.

    But along comes Judge Markell, writing for the 9th Circuit Bankruptcy Appellate Panel in Clear Channel Outdoor, Inc. v. Knupfer (In re PW, LLC), to throw cold water on this reliance on section 363(f).  Judge Markell summarizes his opinion as follows:

    outside a plan of reorganization, does § 363(f) of the Bankruptcy Code permit a secured creditor to credit bid its debt and purchase estate property, taking title free and clear of valid, nonconsenting junior liens? We hold that it does not.

    I discuss this conclusion — which many chapter 11 practitioners and scholars will find shocking — after the jump.

    (more…)

  • Executory Contracts & Puzzles of the Code

    Posted by

    Tomorrow I’m going to be busy at the law school’s graduation, so I think I’ll make this my last post.  I really appreciate the chance to post here at Credit Slips.  I’ll end with my musing about one of many puzzles I see in the Bankruptcy Code.

    Courts and academics often proclaim, with little analysis,
    that the Bankruptcy Code prohibits non-debtor termination of contracts. Specifically, because section 362(b) of the
    Bankruptcy Code does not mention termination of contracts with the debtor,
    several courts have held that non-debtor parties are precluded from
    unilaterally terminating a contract or lease with the debtor, absent relief
    from the automatic stay. Why this should
    be so, especially in cases where the contract would be terminable outside of
    bankruptcy, is unclear. Arguably the
    automatic stay should not give the debtor greater contractual rights than it
    enjoys outside of bankruptcy.

    Instead, I argue that careful reading of sections 362 and
    365 shows that the Bankruptcy Code simply ensures that the non-debtor party
    will have to pay full breach damages if it terminates a contract solely because
    of the debtor’s bankruptcy filing. In
    most cases paying damages is an unattractive option, since the debtor will
    likely incur substantial costs to cover. In short, the Code often effectively precludes termination by the
    non-debtor party, by making it prohibitively expensive, but there may be
    instances in which a party could advance sufficient “cause” to lift the
    automatic stay for purposes of breaching a contract.

    Am I wrong? What are
    some other puzzles you see in the Code?

    Some that I wonder about are: (a) where does it say in the Code
    that administrative expenses come after secured claims (it was the other way around
    in receiverships with regard to "six month" claims) and (b) where exactly does it say that a chapter 11 debtor
    can’t pay prepetition debts in the ordinary course of business?

  • Why Think About Delaware?

    Posted by

    In his response to my thoughts about Delaware, Lynn LoPucki writes that "many believe Delaware venue is not worth discussing because there is no way to ban it while Joseph Biden remains in the Senate."  To the extent that this suggests I am wasting my time, it would be easy to dismiss as the unkind words of a respected scholar who has been harshly attacked by some in the bankruptcy community.  After all, why is my paper less useful than his book?  Senator Biden has been entrenched for a long, long time, long before Courting Failure came out.

    But I do think that Lynn’s comment raises an important point:  why do scholars think and write about issues that will never change?  In this case, I have two responses.  First, I’m not sure that the Senator will be in his post for that much longer.  While his Presidential hopes are unlikely to be fulfilled, it is quite possible that he could take a cabinet post in a future administration.

    Second, my sense is that bankruptcy practitioners and judges are still smarting from Lynn’s criticisms.  Even those folks that support removing Delaware’s privileged place in the chapter 11 system, which they argue is inherently unfair in a supposedly uniform federal system, often express their discomfort with Lynn’s claim that the courts he highlights were not acting in good faith. 

    For these two reasons alone I think studying Delaware still has some merit.  I’d be interested in what others think about this.

  • Professional Fees & Overhead

    Posted by

    As some of you know, I spend a good deal of my time thinking
    about professional fees in chapter
    11. One thing that has always puzzled me
    is the issue of "overhead." It is still
    common to find courts stating that certain items (e.g., secretarial overtime,
    attorney late night meals, word processing) are not recoverable in bankruptcy
    because they constitute "overhead." A
    variation on this same theme is those courts who announce that certain
    categories of expenses are not compensable "in this district."

    Assuming these items are passed on to the client outside of
    chapter 11, the bankruptcy court that adopts this approach is essentially accusing
    the professional of double charging its clients.

    More to the point, I wonder how the bankruptcy court knows
    that these items are overhead? Indeed,
    the fact that some law firms have two hourly rate structures, one with separate
    charges for expenses and one, higher hourly rate structure without these
    charges, suggests that these items are not part of overhead. And since law firm billing systems can easily
    assign these items to specific client and matter numbers, why assume they are
    overhead? 

    In short, is it time for bankruptcy judges (and the U.S.
    Trustee) to drop the notion of "overhead"?

  • And Now for Something Completely Different

    Posted by

    Dscn2003
    For a person interested in the history of
    corporate bankruptcy
    , living in Northern New Jersey can be great fun, as
    every day provides reminders of the great bankruptcy cases of the past,
    particularly those involving the many railroads
    that once converged here, all of which were in receiverships and/or section 77
    proceedings at various points in time. The
    sign pictured here is one I see every morning at the Newark’s Pennsylvania Station, even though
    the last Penn
    Central
    train departed several decades ago. I’m sure this has confused more than a few tourists over the past few
    years!

  • The Delaware Thing

    Posted by

    I
    want to thank the Credit Slips folks for having me visit for the week.  I
    thought I’d start off with a short post, on an uncontroversial subject.

    Next week I’ll be flying off to Vienna (yes,
    academic life is rough) to present my
    paper
    on Delaware’s
    role in corporate reorganization at a conference on financial distress at the Vienna Graduate School of Finance. Unless
    you’ve been living under the well known rock, you know that for the last couple
    of years the bankruptcy community has been riveted by Lynn
    LoPucki’s
    controversial thesis that Delaware
    is the central part of a system where "competing bankruptcy courts offer high
    fees to bribe the lawyers to bring them cases." In particular, as I understand Lynn’s argument, he contends that Delaware is so desirous of big corporate cases that it (a) bribes professionals to come
    to Delaware
    and (b) goes easy on the 1129(a)(11) feasibility analysis, leading to more
    refilings.

    As I note in the paper, even would be defenders of Delaware seem to have accepted that that Delaware
    cases refile at an abnormally high rate, and debates then proceed from that
    point. I remain unconvinced.

    (more…)