Category: Uncategorized

  • The Council of Economic Advisers Discredits Itself

    Posted by

    The White House’s Council of Economic Advisers has put out a crazy report about the supposed costs of the CFPB. It’s frankly embarrassing to see such shoddy legal and economic analysis come out of the CEA. 

    (more…)

  • Viewpoint Discrimination in Banking

    Posted by

    I have a new draft article circulating, The Market for Ideas: Viewpoint Discrimination in Banking. The paper addresses both the positive claims that banks have engaged in viewpoint discrimination by “debanking” political conservatives and Christians and the normative claims from right and left that banks should be regulated as common carriers or public utilities. Basically, the evidence on debanking is remarkably weak; banks often have good reason to close accounts related to credit risk on charged-back payments and AML compliance burdens.  On top of that, the normative case for common carrier or public utility regulation makes little sense: banks are not natural monopolies, the very nature of their business requires discrimination for credit risk, and if they are acting solely out of animus, the market will price against them for it. 

    At core, however, the real issue is that if the First Amendment means anything, then viewpoints cannot be treated as a protected class. Ideas have to sink or swim in the marketplace on their own without government subsidization. 

    The abstract is below: 

                May banks engage in viewpoint discrimination? That is, may a bank deny service to an anti-vaxxer or an antifa or an election denier? Concerns about viewpoint discrimination in banking have been a conservative cause for a decade, with “viewpoint debanking,” seen as an extension of progressive cancel culture. Yet there is scant evidence that banks, even in the face of regulatory pressure, have engaged in viewpoint discrimination, aside from a few cases related to the January 6 insurrection. To the contrary, bank account closings can often be explained by viewpoint-neutral concerns over credit and anti-money-laundering compliance risk. 

                Despite the dearth of evidence of an actual viewpoint discrimination problem, scholars on the right and left have argued for treating banks as either common carriers or public utilities, both of which are subject to a general duty of non-discrimination, not just in regard to personal status, such as race, sex, or religion, but also regarding customers’ lines of business, and political or religious views. Banks, however, have never historically been regulated as common carriers or public utilities and with good reason: they do not raise the concerns about monopoly power that animate common carrier and public utility regulation, and the very nature of the service they provide requires discrimination based on individualized counterparty credit and compliance risk. Moreover, prohibiting viewpoint discrimination forces a cross-subsidy among bank customers in which low-risk customers are forced to subsidize the high-risk ones, which just transposes the problem: viewpoint subsidization is itself viewpoint discrimination. 

                Allowing viewpoint discrimination means that all viewpoints are subject to market discipline: if a customer’s viewpoint imposes risk on a bank, then the bank should be allowed to price against it, while if a bank discriminates against a viewpoint solely from animus—that is, an expression of the bank’s own viewpoint—then market will price against the bank, which will lose market share to non-discriminating banks. Banks should be free to reject customers for any reason unrelated to personal status, including viewpoint. Doing so is a business decision that is best left to private actors and checked by the marketplace, not government.

     

  • Fix Credit Card Competition with Market Improvements, Not Rate Caps

    Posted by

    There’s a problem with competition in the credit card market. But rate regulation, like a 10% usury cap, is not the way to fix it. The problems in the credit card market are informational: consumers cannot see precise interest rates when they apply for cards, so there isn’t competitive pressure on rates. Instead, card issuers compete based on opaque, but much more salient, rewards programs.

    Since when is rate regulation the way we go about fixing informational problems? It’s the wrong tool for the job. Slapping on a 10% rate cap is a lot sexier and simpler than the sort of under-the-hood regulatory craftsmanship required to fix informational problems, but that doesn’t mean it’s the right solution. There are better ways to fix the consumer credit card market than a blunt tool like a rate cap that is likely to have a lot of unintended consequences.

    (more…)

  • Why a 10% Credit Card Rate Cap Is a Terrible Idea

    Posted by

    President Trump’s call for a one year 10% rate cap on credit cards has gotten a lot of attention and a surprisingly favorable reception. It’s a reworking of a bill proposed last year by Bernie Sanders and Josh Hawley in the Senate and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Anna Paulina Luna in the House. The 10% rate cap was a terrible idea in 2025 and it’s a terrible idea now. It really doesn’t matter which end of the horseshoe it comes from. While it might sound great to get cheap credit, there’s no free lunch here.

    (more…)

  • Debunking Debanking: The OCC’s Debanking Report Is a Nothing Burger

    Posted by

    The OCC released the preliminary findings from its “Review of Large Banks’ Debanking Activities” undertaken pursuant to an Executive Order on debanking.

    The findings are a nothing burger. The OCC did not adduce any examples of any individual or business being denied financial services because of viewpoint or line of business. Instead, all it found were that large banks required more complicated internal approval processes for lines of business that present reputation risk. That’s 100% legal. Let me repeat that again: the OCC did not find any evidence of denial of services, just of heightened review for certain lines of business that pose reputational risk. Moreover, the OCC did not adduce any evidence of banks discriminating against individuals on the basis of their politics or religion. Instead, all it found was evidence of prudent banking practices. Yawn.

    (more…)
  • Unconscionable Ambulance Fees

    Posted by

    The Washington Post had a pretty shocking story about ambulance bills. $9,000 for a 40 minute ambulance ride at normal speeds, no siren, no unusual life support measures. What I found striking about the story was less the outrageous pricing than that no one was talking about how the ambulance company’s fees are almost assuredly unenforceable and probably an unfair trade practice. (more…)

  • CFPB Ultra Vires Acts?

    Posted by

    The CFPB is apparently rushing to address the problems posed by it supposedly running out of funding in early 2026: it is looking at taking steps to expedite a revision of the 1033 open banking rule and also trying to find a way to outsource the calculation of the Average Prime Offer Rate (APOR) to private parties. Good luck with that during the holiday season. 

    All of this suggests that Russ Vought’s hit squad didn’t properly coordinate with the folks who actually know what the Bureau has to do (to the extent anyone’s even left in the building). 

    (more…)

  • APOR Consequences If the CFPB’s Funding Is Illegal

    Posted by

    In a prior post I noted that if the CFPB’s funding is illegal, it creates a time bomb for the entire US housing market because the Bureau will not be able to update the Average Prime Offer Rate (APOR) that is used to determine the presumptive legality of mortgages.

    The situation is actually worse. If the Bureau’s funding is illegal, it isn’t just a problem going forward. It also implicates the legality of everything the Bureau has done since the Fed stopped running a profit, that is from the 4th quarter of 2022 onward. That is every rulemaking and every enforcement action and every termination of a consent decree becomes suspect if the Bureau’s been acting without legal funding. And that includes the APOR.

    If the Bureau’s funding is illegal, then the APOR is arguably frozen at either the end of Q3 or Q4 2022. I think Q4 2022 because until the end of that quarter it wasn’t know if the Fed was running a profit.1 Here’s why it matters. The APOR for a 30 year mortgage was 6.79% at the end of Q3 2022 and 6.28% at the end of Q4 2022. Right now it’s 6.26%, but it’s been substantially higher at points between 2022 and today. That means that some mortgages that would be QM under the APOR that was listed when the mortgages were made would not be QM if the APOR were frozen at a Q3 or Q4 2022 level. That’s a potential mess for lenders, who face putbacks (they would be in breach of their reps and warrants), a borrower defense to foreclosure, and state AG enforcement.

    Now it would seem easy enough to say “justified reliance” and grandfather everything old in. But I’m not sure that’s how it will work, and that uncertainty is enough of a problem in and of itself.

     

    1. The difficulty in knowing how/when to measure the Fed’s profitability is yet another factor that points toward the absurdity of the OLC’s opinion. Any corporate lawyer will tell you that if you have an incurrence test in your bond, you need a relevant incurrence date. And if you have a maintenance test, you should still know the date of a breach because there’s a notice requirement. There’s nothing at all like this for the CFPB, however. The timing of the Fed’s financial reporting is not synced with the timing of the CFPB draws, which suggests that the draws are not meant to relate to anything in the content of the reporting, including profitability. ↩︎
  • 50-Year Mortgages? The Numbers Don’t Add Up

    Posted by

    The Trump administration has tried to seize the affordability mantle by proposing a move to 50-year mortgages. Unfortunately, the math doesn’t add up: a 50-year mortgage is a pretty bad idea.

    The United States is unique globally in that our dominant mortgage product is the 30-year, fixed-rate, fully-prepayable, fully-amortized mortgage. The 30-year fixed is the American mortgage, and it is a wonderful financial product. It’s also one that only exists because of substantial government involvement in the market. But shifting it out to a 50-undermines the benefits of the product. (more…)

  • CFPB Funding Sophistry from the Office of Legal Counsel

    Posted by

    It takes real skill to bankrupt a government agency, particularly one that is barely functioning. Yet that’s exactly what Russell Vought is trying to do. Vought, you might recall, is the acting Director of the CFPB, and last February he made a big show of declining to draw down funds for the CFPB from the Federal Reserve System, claiming that the Bureau had more than adequate funds on hand. Vought then embarked on a campaign to fire most of the CFPB’s workforce, resulting in significant attrition, even if his efforts remain tied up in court. But now Vought—and remember that this is the guy who also runs the Office of Management and Budget—is claiming that the CFPB will run out of money in early 2026. He claims that the CFPB, relying on a newly issued opinion from the Department of Justice’s Office of Legal Counsel, can only draw down funds on the Federal Reserve System when the system runs a profit, which it is not currently doing.

    Three observations about this incredibly cynical play.

    (more…)